The Fundamental Mechanics of Point Valuation
Points are a secondary currency, and like any currency, their value is subject to inflation and devaluation. The primary mistake made by casual users is centralizing their wealth in a single airline's mileage program.
Instead, we advocate for Transferable Currencies. These are points held by bank issuers (American Express, Chase, Capital One) that allow you to move your balance to dozens of partners. This agility is your hedge against a single airline devaluing their award chart.
Note: Higher valuations often require more effort in searching for "Saver Award" availability three to six months in advance.